Cocoa Arrivals Target Calculator: Weekly Pace & Scenarios
Calculate the weekly Ivory Coast cocoa arrivals needed to reach your cumulative target. Test a delivery pace without confusing scenarios with crop forecasts.
No account required · Your calculations stay in this browserTest the pace needed to reach a target
Use a cumulative arrivals total and a target with the same season start and coverage.
Your comparison
Enter your figures, then calculate. No current market estimate is assumed.
How much cocoa needs to arrive each week?
Subtract cumulative arrivals so far from your target, then divide the remaining tonnage by the number of complete reporting weeks left. Keep both totals on the same season-start, geographic and reporting basis.
For illustration only, 240,000 tonnes delivered toward a 900,000-tonne target leaves 660,000 tonnes. Over eight remaining weeks, the required average is 82,500 tonnes per week. At a tested pace of 70,000 tonnes, the resulting total would be 800,000 tonnes: 100,000 below the target. Neither figure is a current forecast.
Does a below-target pace prove the crop is smaller?
No. Arrivals measure reported deliveries. Timing, transport, selling decisions and coverage can affect them. A constant-pace projection is a way to test a scenario; use independent crop evidence before drawing a production conclusion.
Check the latest arrivals reports → · Read the target-pace worked examples →
Choose a defensible target and time window
Keep a source and date for any external forecast, or label your target as a personal scenario. Count the reporting weeks after the cumulative cutoff, not from the day you read the report. Do not add a week already included in the cumulative figure. Model a partial final week separately, and recalculate after revisions.
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